Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 413.855694 470.850336 534.369522 610.683938 700.242829 802.446505 928.527693
2025-10-12 341.144248 418.537565 512.924446 637.685752 800.017269 1006.509359 1292.980468
2025-10-19 293.459886 377.974016 487.287744 641.311384 856.429261 1151.848236 1598.276665
2025-10-26 253.317010 338.581342 453.963281 624.868003 877.426665 1246.556261 1845.574107
2025-11-02 224.443952 309.456536 428.975046 613.755121 900.572686 1343.548435 2110.243453
2025-11-09 209.171691 296.959430 424.926528 631.073625 966.738432 1514.232921 2525.476643
2025-11-16 191.560190 278.702193 409.660507 628.154493 998.932859 1633.335152 2875.157517
2025-11-23 175.534124 260.958478 392.848997 619.910628 1019.909018 1734.998367 3212.666530
2025-11-30 164.172258 249.183570 383.903944 623.040502 1060.123051 1876.477427 3658.691019
2025-12-07 151.395102 233.878981 367.537457 611.122755 1070.840431 1963.211201 4009.506255
2025-12-14 141.560612 222.451239 356.395275 606.882430 1094.847202 2079.252234 4451.983580
2025-12-21 129.311659 205.967776 335.101530 581.632182 1074.327983 2099.981085 4676.091863
2025-12-28 125.697290 204.032329 339.220275 604.963717 1155.805801 2355.678723 5556.939925
2026-01-04 122.908568 203.285221 345.377671 633.028789 1251.831996 2664.181506 6678.816421
2026-01-11 116.962276 196.399983 339.597884 636.529229 1295.142892 2858.085991 7546.353324
2026-01-18 109.043400 185.322852 324.987056 620.236759 1291.569338 2936.358509 8095.750460
2026-01-25 102.501537 176.293468 313.507856 609.220729 1298.578400 3043.087631 8772.660225
2026-02-01 99.764324 174.140392 315.126570 626.387528 1375.189315 3350.014718 10234.084552
2026-02-08 95.031716 167.843098 308.000496 623.494023 1402.094212 3526.185320 11307.166438
2026-02-15 90.131478 160.881252 298.969906 615.322420 1414.441981 3663.557628 12293.489675
2026-02-22 86.722566 156.592240 295.044628 618.424879 1456.641334 3899.468257 13778.746772
2026-03-01 82.156659 149.712882 285.205676 606.611384 1457.208407 4007.376243 14777.874077
2026-03-08 78.607109 144.647769 278.816539 602.408063 1478.207187 4186.137138 16182.995828